Up until the last two weeks of the NFL season, Dak Prescott was looking like the best quarterback in the NFL. He was a top-five fantasy football QB, and was keeping the Cowboys in damn-near every game to start the season. It’s been a tough two week stretch for the veteran QB of late, struggling against one of the best defenses in the league in Denver, and then a brutal performance against the Cardinals on MNF in his last start. After a bye week, it’s time for Dak to lock back in and carve up the Raiders’ sketchy defense in his second-straight MNF game. Here are two props involving Dak Prescott that I am betting on, and you should too…

Dak Prescott's 0.5 interception prop is my favorite play for tonight's MNF against the Raiders, as his ball security aligns with a matchup against a turnover-averse defense. Through 9 games in 2025, Prescott has thrown just 6 interceptions, averaging 0.67 per game, but he's gone interception-free in 5 of those outings, showcasing improved decision-making under pressure compared to previous seasons. 

His recent stretch includes three interceptions in his last two games, making this a contrarian bettor’s dream. Dak typically has a clean pocket (only 15 sacks taken) and should prioritize short-to-intermediate passes to reliable targets like CeeDee Lamb, Jake Ferguson and George Pickens. Tonight is a great time to buy-low on Dak, and back him to stay out of the INT column on the stat sheet. 

The Raiders' defense ranks near the bottom in forcing turnovers, with just 6 interceptions all season (0.67 per game), struggling to generate pressure without Maxx Crosby at full strength. If you look at the rest of the Raider’s defense, who is going to step up and make a play? The rest of their defensive line is putrid, and their secondary is nothing to write home about. 

The Raiders have failed to snag an INT in 4 of their last 6 games, particularly against pocket passers like Prescott who avoid risky deep shots. When the general public is expecting Dak to struggle in primetime once again, let’s back him to avoid turning the ball over against an underwhelming Raiders defense.

With the Cowboys favored by 3.5 points and a game script favoring controlled drives, expect Prescott to prioritize efficiency over hero ball, finishing with zero picks in a low-risk outing. Expect Javonte Williams to get the rock plenty tonight, as the Cowboys’ offense looks to play a bit more conservative in a winning gamescript. 

Dak Prescott's rushing yards prop is set at 9.5 on MNF versus the Raiders tonight, reflecting his limited mobility and a matchup that discourages scrambles. In 2025, Prescott has amassed only 121 rushing yards on 29 attempts over 9 games, averaging 13.4 yards but hitting under 10.5 in 5 contests, with a median closer to 8 yards due to inconsistent volume. I’m not expecting Dak to have many opportunities to scramble in this one, as the Raiders have been struggling to generate pressure. He should have a clean pocket and plenty of time to throw the rock tonight, as long as Maxx Crosby doesn’t have a career performance. 

As a prototypical pocket passer, Dak averages just 3.2 rush attempts per game, relying on designed passes rather than legs, especially post-injury caution from prior seasons. If the Cowboys are winning tonight as expected, they should run much more conservative playcalling, as they look to end their mini losing streak on MNF tonight.

Recently, Dak has managed single-digit yards in two of his last four games. He is coming off 65 rush yards in his last two starts combined, though, making this a great contrarian spot. He gained 31 yards against the Broncos, but their front seven reeks havoc way more than the Raiders will on MNF tonight, and the Cardinals defensive line is no slouch either. Tonight, against the struggling Raiders defense, expect Dak to have a clean pocket with plenty of time to throw the rock on primetime. 

The Raiders allow an average of 16 QB rushing yards per game but clamp down on non-dual-threat QBs, holding passers like Geno Smith (4 yards) and others to minimal gains with a decent front seven ranking 15th in opponent rushing yards allowed (106.6 per game). Expect Javonte Williams to have a solid day on the ground, but don’t expect Dak to take off and run as much as he has in his last two starts. 

If anything, the Raiders’ pass rush could force sacks over escapes. With Dallas as favorites in a high-total game (o/u 49.5), the script favors airing it out and leaning on RBs like Javonte Williams, limiting Prescott's need to run. If he’s close to the o/u 9.5 rushing prop towards the end of the game, expect him to kneel out the game and lose a couple yards on the last couple of plays. That could be pivotal for this under to hit on Dak’s rushing prop.