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5h ago3 min read

Purdue vs UCLA: How to Make Money Fading the Best Team in College Basketball

Krabs breaks down why to take this late-night college basketball underdog.

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Purdue vs UCLA: How to Make Money Fading the Best Team in College Basketball

GAME BETTING LINES

1/20 - 10:00 PM EST

CBB
PUR

PUR

17-1

@

UCLA

12-6

UCLA
Spread
PUR
PUR
-5.5
-115
UCLA
UCLA
+5.5
-115
Total
OVER
147.5
-105
UNDER
147.5
-105
Moneyline
PUR
PUR
-258
UCLA
UCLA
+210

On Tuesday night, we are blessed with another glorious college basketball slate. There are plenty of ranked teams lacing them up tonight, including the Purdue Boilermakers. They will have their hands full on the road against a hungry UCLA Bruins team looking to avenge three losses in their last five games. 

 

Purdue boasts an impressive 17-1 record and perfect 7-0 conference mark. They have shown that they’re human of late, though. The Boilermakers haven’t covered in their last four games.  UCLA, at 12-6 overall and battling for some momentum, has the tools—led by transfer guard Donovan Dent and forward Tyler Bilodeau—to keep this game within single digits or even pull the upset. Here's why the Bruins cover against the Boilermakers. 

 

First, home-court advantage in Pauley Pavilion cannot be overstated. Mick Cronin's squads thrive defensively at home, forcing opponents into low-efficiency nights with relentless pressure and rebounding. UCLA's gritty style has already produced solid results in conference play, and facing a ranked opponent in front of a raucous crowd provides extra motivation. Purdue, meanwhile, is in the midst of a West Coast swing, coming off a hard-fought 69-64 road win at USC just days ago. That game saw the Boilermakers trail late and rely on a closing surge, exposing vulnerabilities in true road environments. Back-to-back games in Los Angeles against physical Big Ten foes could lead to fatigue, especially with travel and adjustment to Pacific time.

 

Donovan Dent has been the catalyst UCLA desperately needed after transferring from New Mexico. The senior point guard, a former Mountain West Player of the Year candidate, orchestrates the offense with elite vision, averaging around 12-13 points and leading the team with 6+ assists per game. His ability to penetrate, draw fouls, and distribute will exploit Purdue's perimeter defense, which has shown cracks in recent close contests. Dent's floor generalship controls tempo, preventing Purdue from getting into transition where they excel. If he replicates his efficient playmaking—evident in strong performances against Big Ten competition—UCLA stays composed and generates high-quality looks late.

 

Complementing Dent is Tyler Bilodeau, UCLA's leading scorer at approximately 13.5 points per game. The 6-9 forward brings versatility, knocking down mid-range jumpers, stretching the floor, and battling inside. His size and scoring touch create mismatches against Purdue's frontcourt, forcing help defense that opens driving lanes for Dent and others. Bilodeau's rebounding presence helps UCLA limit second-chance points, critical against a Boilermakers team that relies on efficient shooting but can go cold on the road.

 

Purdue remains dangerous with balanced scoring and coaching from Matt Painter, but their road splits reveal tighter margins. Last season's 76-66 win over UCLA came at home; flipping the venue shifts momentum. With Skyy Clark's status improving (questionable but trending positive), depth isn't a major concern. This spread screams value on the home dog in a low-possession, defensive battle likely finishing in the 140s.

 

UCLA's identity—tough, disciplined, and opportunistic—matches up perfectly for a cover. Dent dictates pace, Bilodeau provides scoring punch, and home energy fuels a gritty effort. Take the Bruins +6; this one stays close throughout. 

Best Bet

TypeSelectionOddsUnits
SPREADUCLA +6(-110)1U
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PUR
vs
UCLA
PUR @ UCLA
1/21 – 3:00 AM
SpreadUCLA +6
@(-110)1U
1 pick 1.0U total wagered
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