Christmas Day NFL action is always a gift for bettors, and this year's slate on December 25, 2025, offers a prime opportunity to play a 6-point teaser on the Dallas Cowboys and Detroit Lions. With the Cowboys facing the Washington Commanders at 1 p.m. ET and the Lions taking on the Minnesota Vikings at 4:30 p.m. ET, both streamed on Netflix, this two-leg parlay adjusts the spreads in our favor, essentially requiring each favorite to win by just two points or more. At (-120) odds, backing these two favorites seems like too good of a price to pass up. Let's break down why this bet is poised to hit, focusing on key matchups, team trends, and player edges.

Starting with the Cowboys-Commanders clash, Dallas enters as the road favorite with a spread around -7.5. Their 6-8-1 record might not scream dominance, but they've shown flashes of playoff-caliber play, especially on offense. Quarterback Dak Prescott, in his prime at age 32, has thrown for over 4,100 yards this season with a 68% completion rate, dissecting defenses with precision passes to receivers like CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens. Prescott's experience in high-stakes games—remember his clutch performances in past rivalry matchups—gives Dallas a massive edge in this spot.

On the flip side, the Commanders (4-11) are reeling from injuries and inconsistency, limping into this game with journeyman Josh Johnson under center. At 39 years old, Johnson is a 17-year vet who's bounced around 14 teams, but his starts are rare and often underwhelming. In limited action this year, he's completed just 55.6% of his passes with more interceptions than touchdowns. Facing a Cowboys defense that's improved greatly in recent weeks, Johnson will struggle to protect the ball and sustain drives. Washington's run game, hampered by a banged-up offensive line, averages under 100 yards per contest lately, forcing Johnson into obvious passing situations where he’s more than likely going to struggle.

Dallas has owned this rivalry, winning the last meeting 44-22 as a small favorite, outgaining Washington 409-341. The Cowboys have won four of the last five games against Washington. With the teaser dropping the line to -1.5, the Cowboys just need a field-goal victory—highly likely given their superior talent and motivation to spoil Washington's holidays, along with ending their three game skid. Expect Dallas to win in a  30-22 back and forth battle. Don't overthink it: Prescott carves up the Commanders' secondary, and Dallas rolls in this one. 

Shifting to the Lions-Vikings matchup, Detroit (8-7) is fighting for playoff positioning against a Minnesota squad (7-8) that’s playing well, but without their starting quarterback on Thursday. The spread sits at Lions -7.5 at most books, but our teaser makes it a near-pick'em at -1.5. Jared Goff, the steady veteran QB, has been lights-out on turf in his career, It doesn’t hurt that he has weapons like Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jahmyr Gibbs torching defenses. Goff's quick release and accuracy (68% completion rate) exploit mismatches, especially against a Vikings secondary allowing 250 passing yards per game.

Minnesota's woes compound with rookie Max Brosmer stepping in as starter after J.J. McCarthy's hairline fracture in his throwing hand. Brosmer, the former Minnesota Golden Gopher standout drafted in the third round, has shown promise in spot duty but lacks NFL polish. In college, he threw for 3,000+ yards, but pro speed is different—expect growing pains against Detroit's aggressive front seven, featuring Aidan Hutchinson's 10+ sacks. The Vikings' offense has sputtered without McCarthy, and their defense ranks bottom-five in run stopping, perfect for Gibbs and David Montgomery to grind out the clock.

Detroit has won four of the last five matchups against Minnesota, but did lose earlier this season already. Don’t expect them to lose both matchups against the Vikings this season, especially without their starting QB. With the teaser, a 24-20 Lions win cashes—realistic given Brosmer's inexperience versus Goff's poise. 

This 6-point teaser might be square, but it leverages massive QB disparities—Prescott over Johnson and Goff over Brosmer. Both favorites are healthier, more talented, and hungrier for a win this week. At around (-120), lock in this NFL teaser before you start opening the presents. Merry Christmas, and may all of your parlays, teasers, straight bets and PrizePicks lineups smack with ease.